Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Craig Botham Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

22 March 2024 US Monitor The Government's contribution to economic growth will slow this year

  • Both federal and state/local government are set to make much smaller contributions to growth this year.
  • S&L government housing construction will slow, and the surge in payrolls will moderate, likely quite soon.
  • February’s jump in existing homes sales will not be sustained; mortgage demand remains very weak.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

21 March 2024 US Monitor Chair Powell notes inflation "bumps", but FOMC sticks with 75bp this year

  • The FOMC stuck to its December forecast of 75bp easing this year; recent inflation data just a “bump”.
  • Chair Powell sees no “cracks” in the labor market; the NFIB and WARN data tell a different story.
  • Today’s existing home sales data are wild, but whatever they show, a real recovery is some way off.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

20 March 2024 US Monitor The FOMC likely will stick to its forecast for three rate cuts this year

  • The FOMC likely will stick to its December forecast of 75bp easing this year.
  • FOMC members’ inflation forecasts probably will be little changed, despite recent data disappointment.
  • Homebuilders are gaining market share, keeping single-family construction on an upward track.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

19 March 2024 US Monitor Payroll growth likely slowed in March, but still respectable, for now

  • Homebase points to solid March job growth, but likely slower than in February…
  • Either way, the outlook for the second quarter is materially weaker; hirings down, firings up.
  • Housing construction is set to rise as homebuilders gain market share; is the multi-family slump over?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

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U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,