Pantheon Macroeconomics

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4th Apr 2022 18:00U.K., Daily Monitor

The U.K. yield curve has not inverted and inversion is not a reliable bellwether of U.K. recessions.

Equity prices for consumer-facing companies have fallen sharply, but not yet to recession levels.

The oil price has been this high before without triggering a downturn, and GDP is less energy-intensive now. 

brent crude capex commodity prices consumer services energy energy prices equity prices ftse gdp growth labour labour demand mpc oil oil price oil prices ois ois market q2 recession recessions retail sales russia summer swap rates u.s. yield curve yields

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Keywords for: No Recession Signalled by Financial Market Indicators

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