Pantheon Macroeconomics

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21st Oct 2021 18:00U.K., Economic Monitor

  • This month's Stamp Duty change has left housing unscathed; we look for a 0.5% q/q rise in house prices in Q4.
  • House prices, however, will flatline in H1 2022; two-year fixed rate mortgage rates will jump by 60bp in Q4...
  • ...The squeeze on households' real income, as inflation rises and taxes increase, also will subdue the market.

bank bank rate cpi cpi inflation energy energy prices forecasts growth growth rate h1 house price house prices housing income inflation interest rate investors it LIBOR libor swap ltv markets monetary mortgage mortgage rates mpc outlook prices rates tax taxes

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Keywords for: House Prices will Flatline in H1 2022, if Markets are Right about Rates

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