Pantheon Macroeconomics

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30th Sep 2021 18:00U.K., Economic Monitor

  • The shortfall in GDP in July from its pre-Covid peak has been revised to just 1.3%, from 2.5% previously.
  • Future growth, however, will be weak; both government spending and households' incomes will fall...
  • ...So the MPC can take its time; we now expect a Q2 rate rise, but then a 12-month delay until the next hike.

bank bank rate business investment committee cpi credit demand energy energy prices finance fuel gdp gdp growth global government growth healthcare household households imports income investment it labour manufacturers measures mpc outlook prices rate hike services spending supply survey

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Keywords for: Rate Hike Now Likely, Following Big GDP Revisions

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