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6th Nov 2023 11:00UK, Daily Monitor

  • We look for a 0.2% month-to-month decline in GDP in September, below the no-change consensus.
  • Warmer-than-usual weather hit output in the retail and energy-supply sectors; car sales likely plunged too.
  • Strikes in the health sector were more disruptive than in August but look set to moderate in Q4.

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Keywords for: 7 November 2023 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence