Pantheon Macroeconomics

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4th Aug 2025 17:34UKDaily Monitor

  • We expect GDP to rise 0.2% month-to-month in June, as retail sales, real estate and autos output rebound.
  • Our call points to quarter-to-quarter growth of 0.2% in Q2, above the 0.1% forecast in the MPC’s May MPR.
  • We think growth will run close to potential for the rest of 2025, giving the MPC little room for manoeuvre.

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Keywords for: 6 August 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence