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3rd Oct 2023 19:24U.K., Daily Monitor

  • The PMI points to a much milder slowdown, following positive revisions, but it still looks too gloomy to us.
  • S&P’s seasonal adjustment methodology is still weighing excessively on September’s PMI reading.
  • Modest GDP growth, however, won’t trigger rate hikes; job market slack is building, and price rises are slowing.

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Keywords for: 5 October 2023 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence