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4th Mar 2024 10:45UK, Daily Monitor

  • CPI inflation likely fell to 3.5% in February, from 4.0% in January, matching the MPC’s forecast.
  • Base effects should cut services inflation, while weaker costs continue to reduce goods inflation.
  • Another ONS update to the CPI weights should have only a small impact outside of airfares.

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Keywords for: 5 March 2024 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence