Pantheon Macroeconomics

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26th Aug 2022 14:06U.K., Weekly Monitor

  • Futures prices indicate that the energy price cap will rise by a further 52% in January and 38% in April...
  • ...Implying that energy will directly boost the headline rate of CPI inflation early next year by 11pp.
  • Markets' bets on even faster rate hikes look misplaced; higher energy prices mean more labour market slack.

core cpi cpi cpi inflation deposits electricity electricity prices employment energy energy prices fuel headline rate January labour labour market liquidity mortgage motor fuel mpc mpc members natural gas October Ofgem rpi rpi inflation vat vat hike

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Keywords for: 30 Aug 2022 UK Monitor

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