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2nd Feb 2023 16:12U.K., Daily Monitor

  • The MPC's new forecasts imply that markets are wrong to price-in further rate hikes as the base case.
  • The MPC sees net upside risk to its inflation forecast, but did not signal "ongoing" tightening, in contrast to the Fed.
  • Rates will rise further only if services inflation or wages top their new forecasts, which look well-grounded to us.

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Keywords for: 3 Feb 2023 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence