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21st Oct 2022 15:11U.K., Daily Monitor

  • October’s PMI data point to a worsening recession; a 0.5% quarter-on-quarter drop in Q4 GDP looks likely.
  • Price rises are slowing, but remain too brisk for the MPC to take breath; we look for a 75bp hike next week.
  • Further falls in interest rate expectations will weigh on sterling now the fiscal credibility gap has largely gone.

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Keywords for: 25 Oct 2022 UK Monitor

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