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23rd Jan 2024 13:53UKDaily Monitor

  • Public borrowing is on course to undershoot the OBR’s forecast for 2023/24 by about £5B.
  • ‘Fiscal headroom’ is a distraction; Mr. Hunt will cut taxes as much as he can without jeopardising MPC rate cuts.
  • We expect Budget tax cuts of £20B in 2024/25, but some people might save the windfall, fearing tax hikes soon.

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Keywords for: 24 January 2024 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence