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19th May 2025 08:27UKDaily Monitor

  • New rules will cut immigration by 98K a year—0.2% of the population—according to government estimates.
  • We estimate that the curbs will slow potential growth by 0.1% per year, raising the pressure for tax hikes.
  • A greater sectoral mismatch between workers and jobs will likely result too, adding to wage pressures.

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Keywords for: 20 May 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence