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  • Gilt auctions are still well supported, and financial conditions are orderly, despite high uncertainty…
  • ...but yields will remain high as the MPC stays on hold and markets demand a premium for political risk.
  • We expect 10-year and 30-year gilt yields to end 2025 at their current rates of 4.7% and 5.5%, respectively.

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Keywords for: 2 October 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence