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13th Nov 2023 17:08UK, Daily Monitor

  • Real interest rates will rise further in 2024 if nominal rates hold steady, encouraging extra private-sector saving.
  • The effective interest rate on the stock of mortgages will continue to rise, even if Bank Rate is cut sharply.
  • The fiscal consolidation will intensify next year; macro policy will remain restrictive even with rate cuts.

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Keywords for: 14 November 2023 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence