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13th Dec 2023 18:21UK, Daily Monitor

  • Most of October’s 0.3% month-to-month fall in GDP probably was reversed in November...
  • ...Some sectors struggled in October due to bad weather; survey and employee data point to modest GDP growth.
  • The near-term outlook for real household disposable income is positive; a recession is still only a tail risk.

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Keywords for: 14 December 2023 UK Monitor GDP Still Unlikely to Fall in Q4, Despite the Poor Start to the Quarter

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence