Pantheon Macroeconomics

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  • Borrowing costs have jumped since our last gilt market update, as the Iran war boosts inflation fears.
  • We think yields have overshot fair pricing and will fall, although more so at the short than long end.
  • Higher-for-longer oil prices and rising political risk mean the curve will steepen in 2026.

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Keywords for: 14 April 2026 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence