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12th May 2025 17:42UKDaily Monitor

  • Volatility at the long end of the gilt curve will fail to deter the MPC from continuing QT from October.
  • The level of reserves in the system is elevated, and rate-setters are keen to dispose of APF assets.
  • We expect the BoE to reduce the pace of QT only modestly in 2025/26, to £80B per year.

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Keywords for: 13 May 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence