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11th Sep 2023 10:04UK, Daily Monitor

  • The MPC's rate hikes have lifted disposable incomes by about 0.7% so far; don't expect a net drag until Q2 2024.
  • Capital repayments will fall when mortgages are refi- nanced at higher rates, softening the blow to spending.
  • Capital repayments haven't fallen yet, but that reflects trends in the mortgage market which will ebb soon.

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Keywords for: 12 September 2023 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence