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10th Jun 2025 08:49UKDaily Monitor

  • We expect the MPC to vote seven-to-two to keep Bank Rate on hold at next week’s meeting.
  • Payrolls lift the chance of an August cut, but the MPC will likely stick to its “gradual and cautious” guidance.
  • We are comfortable assuming only one more rate cut in this cycle, even if it may now come sooner.

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Keywords for: 12 June 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence