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Chancellor Sunak's second Budget was bolder than widely expected, both in terms of the ne arterm fiscal support provided and the tax rises planned for future years.
3rd Mar 2021 13:00U.K.
Business Investment and Taxes Can Both Rise, with the Right Policies
25th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
Weakness in Capex and Exports will Temper the Consumer-led Rebound
14th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.
Higher Commodity Prices will Send CPI Inflation Briefly Above 2%
8th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
The pick-up in the headline rate of CPI inflation to 0.6% in December, from 0.3% in November, simply reflects it reverting to its trend rate.
20th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus
18th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
Why have British Households Spent so much Less than those Abroad?
11th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
The decline in CPI inflation to 0.3% in November, from 0.7% in October, likely doesn't represent a shift in the underlying trend.
16th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.
Attempting to forecast the likely level of sterling in the event of a no-deal Brexit is more of an art than a science, as it is impossible to know the extent to which this act of...
13th Dec 2020 19:10U.K.
The only way is up for business investment, after this year's huge decline. In Q3, it was 20% below its Q4 2019 level, easily exceeding the 10-to- 15% peak-to-trough declines...
29th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
The run of lower-than-expected, though still high, public borrowing continued in October, with "PSNB ex." coming in at £22.3B, well below the £28.7B anticipated by the...
22nd Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
The pick-up in CPI inflation to 0.7% in October, from 0.5% in September, does not mark the start of a sustained uptrend.
18th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.
The consensus for a mere 0.3% month-to-month fall in the official measure of retail sales volumes--the data are released on Friday--looks too sanguine. We look for a fall...
17th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.
We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...
15th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
Positive news from Pfizer on the efficacy of its candidate vaccine has brought the post-Covid world into closer focus.
11th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.
The case for the MPC to extend its asset purchase programme into 2021 is compelling. The mere 2.1% month-to-month rise in GDP in August has left the Committee's September...
1st Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
CPI inflation picked up to 0.5% in September, from 0.2% in August, when the Eat Out to Help Out Scheme was running.
21st Oct 2020 14:10U.K.
We expect September's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, to show that CPI inflation rose to 0.6%, from 0.2% in August, in line with the consensus but above the...
18th Oct 2020 20:10U.K.
August's money and credit report creates a reassuring first impression, though the details are more troubling.
29th Sep 2020 14:10U.K.
Recent estimates of public borrowing have undershot the OBR's expectations, superficially suggesting the Chancellor has greater-than- expected capacity to borrow even more in...
27th Sep 2020 20:10U.K.
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