Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email, or contact your account rep

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7 July 2021 Insolvencies Will Rise as Support is Withdrawn, But Not to 2008 Levels

Government support for businesses during the pandemic has kept the number of corporate insolvencies extremely low by past standards.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

21 Jan 2021 Core Inflation Likely Will Remain Below 2% Throughout 2021

The pick-up in the headline rate of CPI inflation to 0.6% in December, from 0.3% in November, simply reflects it reverting to its trend rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

6 Jan 2021 Spring Recovery Contingent on the Pace of Vaccine Rollout

The downturn in economic activity in Q1 is set to be even deeper than we first thought at the start of this week, following the new lockdown announced on Monday...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

7 Dec 2020 GDP Likely Held Steady in October, as the Second Wave Advanced

We expect October's GDP report, released on Thursday, to show that month-to-month growth slowed to about zero, from 1.1% in September, as consumers retreated to their homes as...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

6 Oct 2020 The Recovery Is Grinding to a Halt, in the face of the Second Wave

We don't take much reassurance from the upward revision to the business activity index of Markit's services PMI to 56.1, from the flash estimate, 55.1.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

5 Oct 2020 August GDP Will Prompt the MPC to Reappraise the Recovery's Strength

August's GDP report, released on Friday, looks set to reinforce the downward pressure on gilt yields by making it even more likely that the MPC will extend its QE programme...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

24 Sept 2020 Near-Real-Time Data Signal Fading Consumer Services Activity

Business surveys released this week suggest the economic recovery decelerated in early September.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

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