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The lockdown in Britain that began two-and-a half weeks ago is starting to stem the number of new infections.
8th Apr 2020 20:20U.K.
The release of October's GDP report on Tuesday likely will be overshadowed by campaigning ahead of Thursday's general election.
8th Dec 2019 19:10U.K.
We remain confident in the success of legislation designed to compel the PM to request a further extension of the U.K.'s E.U. membership on October 19, in the overwhelmingly...
9th Oct 2019 14:10U.K.
We continue to expect a general election to be held in December.
2nd Oct 2019 14:00U.K.
Sterling rallied to $1.25 last week--its highest level against the dollar since Boris Johnson became PM in mid-July--amid growing speculation that a Brexit deal still was...
22nd Sep 2019 20:10U.K.
We expect August's retail sales figures, released on Thursday, to surprise modestly to the upside, supporting the MPC's view--which it will reaffirm later that...
17th Sep 2019 14:10U.K.
Sterling recovered to $1.23 yesterday, its highest level since late July, in response to the sharp decline in the risk of a no -deal Brexit at the end of October, triggered by...
5th Sep 2019 14:10U.K.
A general election this year now looks inevitable, after the defection of Phillip Lee MP from the Tories to the Lib Dems, and the PM's threat to seek an election if MPs take...
3rd Sep 2019 20:10U.K.
The fall in the Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI to 47.4 in August--its lowest level since July 2012--from 48.0 in July suggests that pre-Brexit stockpiling isn't...
2nd Sep 2019 20:10U.K.
July's retail sales figures--the first official data for Q3--provided a reassuring signal that consumers can be counted on to drive the economy as the Brexit deadline...
15th Aug 2019 14:10U.K.
The further depreciation of sterling yesterday, to its lowest level against the dollar and euro since March 2017 and September 2017, respectively, signified deepening pessimism...
30th Jul 2019 14:00U.K.
The alarming pace at which the Government is marching towards the Brexit cliff edge still shows no sign of instilling panic among households or firms.
29th Jul 2019 14:10U.K.
In our view, the chances of a no-deal Brexit on October 31 have not surged just because Boris Johnson has become Prime Minister and is gesticulating wildly at the Despatch Box.
25th Jul 2019 14:10U.K.
Our base case remains that the slowdown in quarter-on-quarter GDP growth to about zero in Q2 is just a blip, and that the economy will regain momentum in Q3 and sustain it well...
23rd Jul 2019 14:10U.K.
The spectre of a general election relentlessly will haunt the new Prime Minister--due to be announced as Tory party leader today before moving into Downing Street...
22nd Jul 2019 14:10U.K.
We are pushing back our forecast for the next rise in Bank Rate to May 2020, from the tail-end of this year.
14th Jul 2019 20:10U.K.
Investors have concluded from June's Markit/CIPS PMIs and Governor Carney's speech on Tuesday that the chance of the MPC cutting Bank Rate before the end of this year now...
3rd Jul 2019 14:10U.K.
British politics remains a complete mess, with many outcomes, ranging from no-deal Brexit to revoking Article 50, possible in the second half of this year.
23rd Jun 2019 20:10U.K.
We doubt there will ever be a fail-safe leading indicator of when a recession is about to hit, but asset prices can help us to assess the risks, at least.
18th Jun 2019 14:00U.K.
After the first round of voting by Tory MPs, Boris Johnson remains the clear favourite to be the next Prime Minister.
13th Jun 2019 14:00U.K.
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