Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

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labour

5 Mar 2021 The Risks to Public Borrowing Lie to the Upside in the Medium Term

On balance, the risks to the OBR's new public borrowing forecasts are skewed to the upside.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Mar 2021 03:13U.K.

1 Mar 2021 Scarring will Exceed the OBR's Expectations, Necessitating Tax Rises

1 Mar 2021 Scarring will Exceed the OBR's Expectations, Necessitating Tax Rises

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

24 Feb 2021 Job Cuts and Slowing Wage Growth will Temper the Consumer Rebound

24 Feb 2021 Job Cuts and Slowing Wage Growth will Temper the Consumer Rebound

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)23rd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, December/January 2021

U.K. Labour Market Data, December/January 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)23rd Feb 2021 10:09U.K.

23 Feb 2021 GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Feb 2021 08:15U.K.

16 Feb 2021 Weight Changes will Prevent CPI Inflation Dipping in January

Weight Changes will Prevent CPI Inflation Dipping in January

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

11 Feb 2021 The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, November/December 2020

U.K. Labour Market Data, November/December 2020

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)26th Jan 2021 11:35U.K.

25 Jan 2021 Public Borrowing Set to Hit £400B this Year, Despite Recent Trends

The public finances are in worse shape than the latest borrowing numbers indicate. For now, the ONS estimates that borrowing on the main "PSNB ex."

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

19 Jan 2021 Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus

Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

8 Jan 2021 The Medium-Term Outlook for Residential Investment is Bright

The Medium-Term Outlook for Residential Investment is Bright

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

5 Jan 2021 Housing Market Activity will Plunge in Q2, without Government Support

Housing Market Activity will Plunge in Q2, without Government Support

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Dec 2020 07:34U.K.

16 Dec 2020 Still At Least Six Months Until the Labour Market Turns the Corner

Labour market conditions continued to deteriorate at a gradual pace in the autumn, despite uncertainty surrounding the future of government policies.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.

10 Dec 2020 The Furlough Extension Likely didn't Prevent Further Job Losses

Next week's labour market figures look set to show that the downturn in employment regained momentum in November.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

8 Dec 2020 A Brexit Trade Deal Remains the Path of Least Resistance for the PM

Markets have become more nervous about the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, following the absence of a breakthrough in negotiations over the weekend.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

4 Dec 2020 Will the Impediments to Negative Rates Lessen Next Year?

Markets no longer are confident that the MPC will reduce Bank Rate below zero next year, from its current 0.10% rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

1 Dec 2020 Households are Using Surplus Cash to Pay Off Unsecured Debt

A key determinant of the strength of the economic recovery next year will be households' willingness to spend the savings they have accumulated this year.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Nov 2020 13:00U.K.

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