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How Severe are the Disruptions at the Border?
14th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
How Close is the MPC to Pulling the Negative Rates Trigger?
10th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.
Positive news from Pfizer on the efficacy of its candidate vaccine has brought the post-Covid world into closer focus.
11th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.
Higher core goods inflation is one of the main reasons why the headline rate of CPI inflation has exceeded economists' forecasts over the last few months.
1st Oct 2020 14:00U.K.
After three years, we think the level of the CPI would be about 2% higher if the U.K. falls back on WTO terms for trade with the E .U. than if a deep Free Trade Agreement is...
8th Sep 2020 14:00U.K.
The U.K. economy underperformed its peers to an extraordinary degree in Q2.
12th Aug 2020 14:10U.K.
Chancellor Sunak looks set to announce more fiscal stimulus next month to reinforce the economic recovery, despite recent record levels of public borrowing.
22nd Jun 2020 13:00U.K.
We expect May's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, to show that the headline rate of CPI inflation fell to a four-year low of 0.4% in May, from 0.8% in April.
11th Jun 2020 14:10U.K.
Sterling's shaky performance so far this year-- the trade-weighted index currently is 3% below its end-2019 level and was down 8% at the peak of the mid-March market...
28th Apr 2020 20:20U.K.
Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth last year was buffeted by the accumulation, and subsequent depletion, of inventories, around the two Brexit deadlines in March and October.
12th Feb 2020 13:00U.K.
The consensus forecast for a 0.6% month-to month rise in retail sales volumes in December--data released today--is far too timid.
16th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
The market-implied probability that the MPC will cut Bank Rate at its meeting on January 30 jumped to 63%, from 44%, following the release of December's consumer prices report.
15th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
Members of the Monetary Policy Committee have signalled that January's flash Markit/CIPS composite PMI, released on Friday 24, will have a major bearing on their policy...
14th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
Investors concluded too hastily yesterday that November's GDP report boosted the chances that the MPC will cut Bank Rate at its upcoming meeting on January 30.
13th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
December's consumer prices report looks set to show that CPI inflation was stable at 1.5%--in line with the consensus--though the risks are skewed to the downside.
12th Jan 2020 19:10U.K.
The $10 increase in the price of Brent crude oil over the last three months to $68 is an unhelpful, but manageable, drag on the U.K. economy's growth prospects this year.
7th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
Markets greatly cheered the Conservatives' landslide victory on Friday, but remained cautious on the potential for the MPC to return to the tightening cycle it started in 2017.
15th Dec 2019 19:10U.K.
Next week is so crammed full of data releases that we need to preview November's consumer price data early, in the eye of the storm of the general election.
12th Dec 2019 13:10U.K.
Today's general election looks set to be a closer race than opinion polls suggested two weeks ago.
11th Dec 2019 13:10U.K.
Markets rightly placed little weight on October's below-consensus GDP report yesterday, and still think that the chances of the MPC cutting Bank Rate within the next six...
10th Dec 2019 13:10U.K.
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