Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

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households

2 Mar 2021 Has the Furlough Scheme Quashed Remortgaging Activity

2 Mar 2021 Has the Furlough Scheme Quashed Remortgaging Activity

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Mar 2021 13:00U.K.

23 Feb 2021 GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Feb 2021 08:15U.K.

22 Feb 2021 How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

17 Feb 2021 Official Data to Confirm Retailers had a Bad Start to 2021

Official Data to Confirm Retailers had a Bad Start to 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

15 Feb 2021 Weakness in Capex and Exports will Temper the Consumer-led Rebound

Weakness in Capex and Exports will Temper the Consumer-led Rebound

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

5 Feb 2021 Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

3 Feb 2021 The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

25 Jan 2021 Public Borrowing Set to Hit £400B this Year, Despite Recent Trends

The public finances are in worse shape than the latest borrowing numbers indicate. For now, the ONS estimates that borrowing on the main "PSNB ex."

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

12 Jan 2021 Why have British Households Spent so much Less than those Abroad?

Why have British Households Spent so much Less than those Abroad?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

11 Jan 2021 How Close is the MPC to Pulling the Negative Rates Trigger?

How Close is the MPC to Pulling the Negative Rates Trigger?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

8 Jan 2021 The Medium-Term Outlook for Residential Investment is Bright

The Medium-Term Outlook for Residential Investment is Bright

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

6 Jan 2021 Spring Recovery Contingent on the Pace of Vaccine Rollout

The downturn in economic activity in Q1 is set to be even deeper than we first thought at the start of this week, following the new lockdown announced on Monday...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

5 Jan 2021 Housing Market Activity will Plunge in Q2, without Government Support

Housing Market Activity will Plunge in Q2, without Government Support

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Dec 2020 07:34U.K.

4 Jan 2021 January GDP Will Sink Below November's Lockdown Level

The emergence of a new strain of Covid-19— B117—which is about 70% more infectious than those before it, has lowered the level of economic activity that is...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Dec 2020 07:30U.K.

11 Dec 2020 GDP won't Return to October's Level until March

October's GDP figures conformed to our expectation that the recovery hit a wall as the second wave of Covid-19 developed.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

4 Dec 2020 Will the Impediments to Negative Rates Lessen Next Year?

Markets no longer are confident that the MPC will reduce Bank Rate below zero next year, from its current 0.10% rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

1 Dec 2020 Households are Using Surplus Cash to Pay Off Unsecured Debt

A key determinant of the strength of the economic recovery next year will be households' willingness to spend the savings they have accumulated this year.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Nov 2020 13:00U.K.

26 Nov 2020 The Fiscal Repair Job will be Bigger than the OBR's Forecasts Imply

The OBR's new forecasts for public borrowing likely understate the scale of the necessary future fiscal consolidation.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)25th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

25 Nov 2020 Herd Immunity Is a Realistic Possibility by May

News from AstraZeneca that its vaccine is 70% effective at preventing Covid-19 symptoms leaves leaked government plans for a rapid immunisation programme looking realistic.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

12 Nov 2020 The Boost to GDP from Post-Covid Dis-Saving will be Slow Burning

Positive news from Pfizer on the efficacy of its candidate vaccine has brought the post-Covid world into closer focus.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

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