Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

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gdp

5 Mar 2021 The Risks to Public Borrowing Lie to the Upside in the Medium Term

On balance, the risks to the OBR's new public borrowing forecasts are skewed to the upside.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Mar 2021 03:13U.K.

4 Mar 2021 A Bold Budget, Both In Terms of Near-Term Support and Tax Rises

Chancellor Sunak's second Budget was bolder than widely expected, both in terms of the ne arterm fiscal support provided and the tax rises planned for future years.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Mar 2021 13:00U.K.

3 Mar 2021 The New Financing Remit Should Becalm the Gilt Market

3 Mar 2021 The New Financing Remit Should Becalm the Gilt Market

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Mar 2021 13:00U.K.

1 Mar 2021 Scarring will Exceed the OBR's Expectations, Necessitating Tax Rises

1 Mar 2021 Scarring will Exceed the OBR's Expectations, Necessitating Tax Rises

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

26 Feb 2021 Business Investment and Taxes Can Both Rise, with the Right Policies

Business Investment and Taxes Can Both Rise, with the Right Policies

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)25th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

25 Feb 2021 The Chancellor Will Duck Major Fiscal Decisions in Next Week's Budget

The Chancellor Will Duck Major Fiscal Decisions in Next Week's Budget

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

23 Feb 2021 GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Feb 2021 08:15U.K.

15 Feb 2021 Weakness in Capex and Exports will Temper the Consumer-led Rebound

Weakness in Capex and Exports will Temper the Consumer-led Rebound

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. GDP & Trade, December 2020

U.K. GDP & Trade, December 2020

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th Feb 2021 10:37U.K.

12 Feb 2021 Covid's Rapid Retreat Implies a Spring Rebound is Still On Track

Covid's Rapid Retreat Implies a Spring Rebound is Still On Track

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

11 Feb 2021 The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

8 Feb 2021 GDP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

DP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

5 Feb 2021 Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

4 Feb 2021 A Q2 Rebound Looks Even More Likely, Following Positive Vaccine Trial Data

A Q2 Rebound Looks Even More Likely, Following Positive Vaccine Trial Data

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

3 Feb 2021 The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

26 Jan 2021 Keep the Faith in a Q2 Rebound; Virus Trends Remain Encouraging

Keep the Faith in a Q2 Rebound; Virus Trends Remain Encouraging

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)25th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

25 Jan 2021 Public Borrowing Set to Hit £400B this Year, Despite Recent Trends

The public finances are in worse shape than the latest borrowing numbers indicate. For now, the ONS estimates that borrowing on the main "PSNB ex."

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

18 Jan 2021 November GDP Shows More Firms are Becoming Lockdown-Immune

November GDP Shows More Firms are Becoming Lockdown-Immune

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)17th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

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