Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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14 Apr 2021 The Economy Continued to Hibernate in February, But will Wake Up Soon

The Economy Continued to Hibernate in February, But will Wake Up Soon

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)13th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

12 Apr 2021 GDP Likely Edged Up in February, Despite Unchanged Lockdown Rules

GDP Likely Edged Up in February, Despite Unchanged Lockdown Rules

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th Apr 2021 00:00U.K.

26 Mar 2021 GDP is Rebounding, Despite Little Change in Lockdown Rules

GDP is Rebounding, Despite Little Change in Lockdown Rules

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)25th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

24 Mar 2021 January's Fall in the Unemployment Rate Wasn't a Fluke

January's Fall in the Unemployment Rate Wasn't a Fluke

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)23rd Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

15 Mar 2021 GDP is Receiving a Shot in the Arm from Rising Healthcare Spending

GDP is Receiving a Shot in the Arm from Rising Healthcare Spending

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Mar 2021 00:00U.K.

9 Mar 2021 January GDP Likely was Less Dreadful than the Consensus Expects

January GDP Likely was Less Dreadful than the Consensus Expects

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

8 Feb 2021 GDP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

DP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Feb 2021 00:00U.K.

18 Jan 2021 November GDP Shows More Firms are Becoming Lockdown-Immune

November GDP Shows More Firms are Becoming Lockdown-Immune

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Jan 2021 00:00U.K.

4 Jan 2021 January GDP Will Sink Below November's Lockdown Level

The emergence of a new strain of Covid-19— B117—which is about 70% more infectious than those before it, has lowered the level of economic activity that is...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Dec 2020 12:30U.K.

7 Dec 2020 GDP Likely Held Steady in October, as the Second Wave Advanced

We expect October's GDP report, released on Thursday, to show that month-to-month growth slowed to about zero, from 1.1% in September, as consumers retreated to their homes as...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Dec 2020 00:10U.K.

25 Nov 2020 Herd Immunity Is a Realistic Possibility by May

News from AstraZeneca that its vaccine is 70% effective at preventing Covid-19 symptoms leaves leaked government plans for a rapid immunisation programme looking realistic.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Nov 2020 18:10U.K.

16 Nov 2020 CPI Inflation Likely Rose in October, But it's too Soon to Call an Uptrend

We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Nov 2020 00:10U.K.

13 Nov 2020 GDP Likely won't Return to September's Level Until the Spring

The economic recovery slowed to a snail's pace in September, with GDP merely rising by 1.1% on a month-to-month basis and languishing 8.6% below its January 2020 peak, even...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th Nov 2020 18:00U.K.

10 Nov 2020 GDP Likely Grew Slowly in September, but the Consensus is too Downbeat

September's GDP report, released on Thursday, looks set to show the economic recovery ended Q3 with little momentum.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Nov 2020 22:20U.K.

12 Oct 2020 The Recovery was Stalling Even Before the Second Wave

August's GDP report represented a fatal blow to the V-shaped recovery thesis.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Oct 2020 00:10U.K.

6 Oct 2020 The Recovery Is Grinding to a Halt, in the face of the Second Wave

We don't take much reassurance from the upward revision to the business activity index of Markit's services PMI to 56.1, from the flash estimate, 55.1.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Oct 2020 18:10U.K.

5 Oct 2020 August GDP Will Prompt the MPC to Reappraise the Recovery's Strength

August's GDP report, released on Friday, looks set to reinforce the downward pressure on gilt yields by making it even more likely that the MPC will extend its QE programme...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Oct 2020 00:10U.K.

14 Sept 2020 The Recovery in GDP will Continue to Decelerate Through the Autumn

GDP data for July, released on Friday, showed that the economic recovery following the Covid-19 lockdown still does not look V-shaped, even though virtually all restrictions on...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Sep 2020 00:10U.K.

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