Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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economy Services

17 June 2021 Above-Target Inflation will Last no Longer than a Year

The jump in CPI inflation to 2.1% in May, from 1.5% in April, marks the start of a period of above target inflation driven by services businesses hiking prices as they reopen,...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

15 June 2021 Reopening Price Rises to Drive Above-Consensus May CPI Print

We think CPI inflation picked up to 1.9% in May, from 1.5% in April, exceeding the 1.8% consensus. 

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

14 June 2021 April GDP Shows Q2 Rebound on Track, But Progress will Slow in H2

We're sticking with our forecast for a 5.3% quarter-on-quarter rise in GDP in Q2 in the wake of April's GDP report. 

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

9 June 2021 GDP Likely Jumped to Within 4% of its Pre-Covid Level in April

We expect April's GDP report, released on Friday, to show that the economy continued to recover at a rapid rate in April.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

4 June 2021 The PMI's Ebullience Contrasts Starkly with Other Surveys

Recent indicators of economic activity are not as uniformly positive as we hoped.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Markit CIPS Services Survey & ONS BIC Survey, May 2021

In one line: Conflicting signals on growth, but not on inflation.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Jun 2021 16:03U.K.

3 June 2021 April Money Data Signal a Steady, not Spectacular, Recovery in GDP

April's money and credit data suggest that the economic recovery is progressing, but not at a stellar rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

2 June 2021 Manufacturers Can't Ride the Restocking Wave Forever

The manufacturing sector currently is enjoying a remarkably strong recovery.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

28 May 2021 The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th May 2021 00:00U.K.

25 May 2021 Surveys Point Unambiguously to Higher Services Inflation Ahead

Surveys Point Unambiguously to Higher Services Inflation Ahead

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th May 2021 18:00U.K.

20 May 2021 Surging Energy Prices won't Distract the MPC from Modest Core Inflation

Surging Energy Prices won't Distract the MPC from Modest Core Inflation

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)19th May 2021 18:00U.K.

18 May 2021 May's Further Reopening Will Not Stoke a Troublesome Virus Wave

May's Further Reopening Will Not Stoke a Troublesome Virus Wave

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)17th May 2021 18:00U.K.

17 May 2021 April CPI Inflation to Exceed the Consensus

April CPI Inflation to Exceed the Consensus

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)17th May 2021 00:00U.K.

14 May 2021 Britain is Missing Out on the Global Trade Upswing, Due to Brexit

Britain is Missing Out on the Global Trade Upswing, Due to Brexit

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th May 2021 00:00U.K.

13 May 2021 The U.K. Likely was the G7's Laggard for the Last Time in Q1

The U.K. Likely was the G7's Laggard for the Last Time in Q1

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th May 2021 18:00U.K.

10 May 2021 Health Spending Likely Drove Above- Consensus GDP Growth in March

Health Spending Likely Drove Above- Consensus GDP Growth in March

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th May 2021 00:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Markit CIPS Services Survey and ONS BIC Survey, April 2021

U.K. Markit CIPS Services Survey and ONS BIC Survey, April 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)6th May 2021 15:56U.K.

6 May 2021 Modest Car Sales Show Households aren't Ready to Splurge their Savings

Modest Car Sales Show Households aren't Ready to Splurge their Savings

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th May 2021 18:00U.K.

26 Apr 2021 The Recovery is Breaking into Its Stride, But No Dissaving Boom Yet

The Recovery is Breaking into Its Stride, But No Dissaving Boom Yet

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)26th Apr 2021 00:00U.K.

22 Apr 2021 CPI Inflation will Exceed the 2% Target only Modestly and Briefly

CPI Inflation will Exceed the 2% Target only Modestly and Briefly

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

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