Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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economy Labour Market

17 June 2021 Above-Target Inflation will Last no Longer than a Year

The jump in CPI inflation to 2.1% in May, from 1.5% in April, marks the start of a period of above target inflation driven by services businesses hiking prices as they reopen,...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

16 June 2021 Rising Employment Won't Box the MPC into a Corner on Rates

It remains our view that employment and wages will not rise rapidly enough over the 18 months to prompt the MPC to hike Bank Rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, April and May 2021

In one line: Employment is rising steadily, but probably won't soar.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Jun 2021 16:48U.K.

11 June 2021 A Blockbuster Labour Market Report for April?

Tuesday's labour market report looks set to show that the unemployment rate fell further in April, though not quite as rapidly as implied by recent business surveys.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

7 June 2021 Is Still-High Furlough Scheme Usage a Cause for Concern?

MPC members have made it clear that the evolution of slack in the labour market will have a crucial bearing on the timing of the first increase in Bank Rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

4 June 2021 The PMI's Ebullience Contrasts Starkly with Other Surveys

Recent indicators of economic activity are not as uniformly positive as we hoped.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

25 May 2021 Surveys Point Unambiguously to Higher Services Inflation Ahead

Surveys Point Unambiguously to Higher Services Inflation Ahead

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th May 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, May 2021

.K. Labour Market Data, March and April 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)20th May 2021 15:56U.K.

19 May 2021 Labour Market Slack will Remain Ample Enough to Restrain Wages

Labour Market Slack will Remain Ample Enough to Restrain Wages

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th May 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, March and April 2021

.K. Labour Market Data, March and April 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th May 2021 15:34U.K.

12 May 2021 Is an Early General Election Likely, Once the FTPA has been Scrapped?

Is an Early General Election Likely, Once the FTPA has been Scrapped?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th May 2021 18:00U.K.

7 May 2021 The MPC's New Forecasts Signal that Rate Expectations are too High

The MPC's New Forecasts Signal that Rate Expectations are too High

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)6th May 2021 18:00U.K.

4 May 2021 This Week Likely will be More Eventful than Markets Anticipate

This Week Likely will be More Eventful than Markets Anticipate

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd May 2021 18:00U.K.

29 Apr 2021 Flat Food Prices will Help to Restrain the Headline Inflation Rate

Flat Food Prices will Help to Restrain the Headline Inflation Rate

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

22 Apr 2021 CPI Inflation will Exceed the 2% Target only Modestly and Briefly

CPI Inflation will Exceed the 2% Target only Modestly and Briefly

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

21 Apr 2021 The MPC Can Be Patient, Despite Less Slack than in the Early 2010s

The MPC Can Be Patient, Despite Less Slack than in the Early 2010s

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)20th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, February and March 2021

U.K. Labour Market Data, February 2021, March 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)20th Apr 2021 15:36U.K.

19 Apr 2021 CPI Inflation is Reviving, but Won't Need to be Reined In by the MPC

CPI Inflation is Reviving, but Won't Need to be Reined In by the MPC

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)19th Apr 2021 00:00U.K.

16 Apr 2021 Sterling at Risk of Falling Further Over the Remainder of this Year

Sterling at Risk of Falling Further Over the Remainder of this Year

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

31 Mar 2021 The Days of Strong Workforce Growth are Long Gone

The Days of Strong Workforce Growth are Long Gone

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

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