Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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23 July 2021 The Peak for Covid-19 Cases is Within Sight

Growth in new Covid-19 cases has eased in recent days, bringing hope that infections will top out well below the 100K-a-day level forewarned by the new Health Secretary...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Jul 2021 18:00U.K.

22 July 2021 Tax Rises Still will be Needed for a 3% Budget Deficit

We continue to think that the government will need to press ahead with its planned fiscal tightening over the next two years, if it wants to ensure that borrowing drops to 3%...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Jul 2021 18:00U.K.

1 July 2021 Households' Wealth hasn't Soared, Despite Recent Cash Hoarding

The story of the U.K. economy's underperformance relative to its international peers remains intact after the Q1 national accounts. 

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

30 June 2021 Money Data Show Households Still Aren't Throwing Caution to the Wind

The BoE's money and credit data suggest that the economy continued to recover in May, but remained constrained by households' and businesses' lingering cautiousness.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)29th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

29 June 2021 The Bullish Case for Sterling is Weak; the MPC Won't Hike First

The pound's retreat during June to $1.39, from $1.42, will have left many investors who have been long sterling this year--a crowded trade--nursing unrealised losses.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

28 June 2021 Will Domestic Tourism Limit the Slowdown in GDP growth in Q3?

With timely indicators suggesting that travel within the U.K. rather than abroad will prove popular over the summer, the domestic tourism sector looks set to receive a much-needed...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

24 June 2021 Don't Take the PMIs at Face Value, Other Surveys Signal Slower Growth

June's Markit/CIPS PMIs suggest that the economic recovery still has plenty of momentum.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)23rd Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

15 June 2021 Reopening Price Rises to Drive Above-Consensus May CPI Print

We think CPI inflation picked up to 1.9% in May, from 1.5% in April, exceeding the 1.8% consensus. 

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

9 June 2021 GDP Likely Jumped to Within 4% of its Pre-Covid Level in April

We expect April's GDP report, released on Friday, to show that the economy continued to recover at a rapid rate in April.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

7 June 2021 Is Still-High Furlough Scheme Usage a Cause for Concern?

MPC members have made it clear that the evolution of slack in the labour market will have a crucial bearing on the timing of the first increase in Bank Rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

3 June 2021 April Money Data Signal a Steady, not Spectacular, Recovery in GDP

April's money and credit data suggest that the economic recovery is progressing, but not at a stellar rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

2 June 2021 Manufacturers Can't Ride the Restocking Wave Forever

The manufacturing sector currently is enjoying a remarkably strong recovery.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

1 June 2021 Will the Real Gertjan Vlieghe Please Stand Up?

A speech by MPC member Gertjan Vlieghe caught the attention of many investors last week. Immediately after his speech was published at 12:00 BST on Thursday, sterling jumped by...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)31st May 2021 18:00U.K.

28 May 2021 The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th May 2021 00:00U.K.

19 May 2021 Labour Market Slack will Remain Ample Enough to Restrain Wages

Labour Market Slack will Remain Ample Enough to Restrain Wages

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th May 2021 18:00U.K.

14 May 2021 Britain is Missing Out on the Global Trade Upswing, Due to Brexit

Britain is Missing Out on the Global Trade Upswing, Due to Brexit

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th May 2021 00:00U.K.

13 May 2021 The U.K. Likely was the G7's Laggard for the Last Time in Q1

The U.K. Likely was the G7's Laggard for the Last Time in Q1

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th May 2021 18:00U.K.

12 May 2021 Is an Early General Election Likely, Once the FTPA has been Scrapped?

Is an Early General Election Likely, Once the FTPA has been Scrapped?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th May 2021 18:00U.K.

6 May 2021 Modest Car Sales Show Households aren't Ready to Splurge their Savings

Modest Car Sales Show Households aren't Ready to Splurge their Savings

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th May 2021 18:00U.K.

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