Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

cpi

22 Feb 2021 How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

18 Feb 2021 The Down-Weighting of Services will Hold Back Core Inflation

The Down-Weighting of Services will Hold Back Core Inflation

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)17th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

16 Feb 2021 Weight Changes will Prevent CPI Inflation Dipping in January

Weight Changes will Prevent CPI Inflation Dipping in January

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

11 Feb 2021 The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

The U.K. will Recover Less Quickly than the U.S., Holding Sterling Back

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

5 Feb 2021 Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Negative Rates to be Implementable by August, but Undesirable

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

21 Jan 2021 Core Inflation Likely Will Remain Below 2% Throughout 2021

The pick-up in the headline rate of CPI inflation to 0.6% in December, from 0.3% in November, simply reflects it reverting to its trend rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)20th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

19 Jan 2021 Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus

Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

11 Jan 2021 How Close is the MPC to Pulling the Negative Rates Trigger?

How Close is the MPC to Pulling the Negative Rates Trigger?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

7 Jan 2021 Will the Post-Brexit Deal Recovery in U.K. Equity Prices Gather Steam?

The last-minute trade deal signed with the E.U. has put a spring in the s tep of U.K. equities.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)6th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

18 Dec 2020 MPC Signals it Won't Hesitate to Ease Further in the Event of No-Deal

The MPC surprised nobody in voting unanimously this week to keep Bank Rate at 0.10% and to maintain its targets for the stock of government and corporate bond purchases at £875B...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)17th Dec 2020 13:00U.K.

17 Dec 2020 Risks of a 2021 Inflation Overshoot are Low, Absent No-Deal

The decline in CPI inflation to 0.3% in November, from 0.7% in October, likely doesn't represent a shift in the underlying trend.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.

16 Dec 2020 Still At Least Six Months Until the Labour Market Turns the Corner

Labour market conditions continued to deteriorate at a gradual pace in the autumn, despite uncertainty surrounding the future of government policies.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.

14 Dec 2020 How Far Would Sterling Fall in the Event of No-deal?

Attempting to forecast the likely level of sterling in the event of a no-deal Brexit is more of an art than a science, as it is impossible to know the extent to which this act of...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:10U.K.

11 Dec 2020 GDP won't Return to October's Level until March

October's GDP figures conformed to our expectation that the recovery hit a wall as the second wave of Covid-19 developed.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

10 Dec 2020 The Furlough Extension Likely didn't Prevent Further Job Losses

Next week's labour market figures look set to show that the downturn in employment regained momentum in November.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

4 Dec 2020 Will the Impediments to Negative Rates Lessen Next Year?

Markets no longer are confident that the MPC will reduce Bank Rate below zero next year, from its current 0.10% rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

19 Nov 2020 CPI Inflation Likely Won't Breach 2% in 2021

The pick-up in CPI inflation to 0.7% in October, from 0.5% in September, does not mark the start of a sustained uptrend.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

16 Nov 2020 CPI Inflation Likely Rose in October, But it's too Soon to Call an Uptrend

We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.

6 Nov 2020 The MPC Still Sees a Case for More Stimulus, Despite its QE Salvo

Markets interpreted the MPC's decision yesterday to buy £150B more gilts next year, together with its latest forecasts and comments in the minutes, as a sign that the...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)5th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

  Publication Filters

Change View: List   Small Grid  

Filter by Keyword

Filter by Publication Type

Filter by Author

Global Publications Only

Filter by Date

  Quick Tag Filters

Consistently Right

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault,