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Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.
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The Down-Weighting of Services will Hold Back Core Inflation
17th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
Weight Changes will Prevent CPI Inflation Dipping in January
15th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
The pick-up in the headline rate of CPI inflation to 0.6% in December, from 0.3% in November, simply reflects it reverting to its trend rate.
20th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
The decline in CPI inflation to 0.3% in November, from 0.7% in October, likely doesn't represent a shift in the underlying trend.
16th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.
Attempting to forecast the likely level of sterling in the event of a no-deal Brexit is more of an art than a science, as it is impossible to know the extent to which this act of...
13th Dec 2020 19:10U.K.
We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...
15th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
We expect September's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, to show that CPI inflation rose to 0.6%, from 0.2% in August, in line with the consensus but above the...
18th Oct 2020 20:10U.K.
CPI inflation fell to 0.2% in August, from 1.0% in July, but exceeded our forecast and the consensus, both zero.
16th Sep 2020 14:00U.K.
CPI inflation took a big step in April towards the near-zero rate we anticipate by the summer.
20th May 2020 14:00U.K.
April's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, likely will show that CPI inflation plunged and is heading quickly to a near-zero rate by the summer.
18th May 2020 14:00U.K.
The U.K. Monitor will be on a short break soon for paternity leave, so we are taking this opportunity to preview next week's data releases.
14th Apr 2020 14:10U.K.
The consensus forecast for a 0.6% month-to month rise in retail sales volumes in December--data released today--is far too timid.
16th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
The market-implied probability that the MPC will cut Bank Rate at its meeting on January 30 jumped to 63%, from 44%, following the release of December's consumer prices report.
15th Jan 2020 13:10U.K.
December's consumer prices report looks set to show that CPI inflation was stable at 1.5%--in line with the consensus--though the risks are skewed to the downside.
12th Jan 2020 19:10U.K.
CPI inflation rose only to 2.1% in April, from 1.9% in March, undershooting the 2.2% consensus and MPC forecasts, as well as our own 2.3% estimate.
22nd May 2019 15:10U.K.
On a trade-weighted basis, sterling has dropped by only 1.5% since the start of the month, but it is easy to envisage circumstances in which it would fall significantly further.
21st May 2019 14:10U.K.
We expect April's consumer price figures, due on Wednesday, to show that CPI inflation leapt to 2.3%, from 1.9% in March, exceeding the MPC's 2.2% forecast in the latest...
19th May 2019 20:10U.K.
Economists are evenly split on December's consumer prices report, due on Wednesday, with half expecting CPI inflation to fall to 2.1%, from 2.3% in November, and the other...
14th Jan 2019 13:10U.K.
June's consumer price figures threw a last minute curve-ball at the MPC ahead of its key meeting on August 2.
18th Jul 2018 18:10U.K.
April's consumer price figures, due on Wednesday, are set to show that CPI inflation has fallen, primarily due to the earlier timing of Easter this year than last. We
20th May 2018 18:22U.K.
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