May 2023 - U.K. Chartbook

• The Nascent Economic Recovery Will Not Gain Much Speed...The MPC Will Raise Bank Rate Further To Suppress Inflation

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

April 2023 - U.K. Chartbook

• The Run Of Bad Inflation News Will End Shortly....The MPC Needs To Hike Bank Rate Only One Last Time

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

13 Apr 2023 UK Monitor Affordability will Remain the Key Headwind for the Housing Market

• Affordability has been the most significant barrier for households wishing to purchase a home this year.
• Mortgage rates look set to edge up over the next month or two, in part due to tighter credit conditions...
• ...But the brighter economic outlook means we are not revising our forecast for an 8% fall in house prices.

Gabriella DickensU.K.

March 2023 - U.K. Chartbook

Credit Conditions Are Worsening, Inflation Will Nosedive...The MPC Needn't Hike Bank Rate Any Further

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

February 2023 - U.K. Chartbook

GDP Still Looks Set To Fall In 2023, Albeit Modestly....Inflation Will Fall Fast Enough For The MPC To Stop Hiking Soon

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

January 2023 - U.K. Chartbook

A Recession Remains Likely In The First Half Of 2023....Slowing Price Rises Mean An End To Rate Hikes Is In Sight

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

December 2022 - U.K. Chartbook

Slowing Price Rises Mean An End To Rate Hike Is In Sight....We Expect Bank Rate To Peak At 4%, Below The 4.5% Markets Expect

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.

November 2022 - U.K. Chartbook

Monetary And Fiscal Headwinds Look Set To Be Intense....Expect A 2% Peak-To-Trough Fall In GDP And No Revival Until 2024

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)U.K.