UK Publications
Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
September/October 2023
- In one line: Weak house price inflation in October means we cut our Q4 forecast.
- In one line: Budget chaos hits job growth, but pay growth remains strong nonetheless so the MPC will have to be cautious.
- In one line:Some of the downside was noise and will unwind, but GDP will now do well to rise 0.1% quarter-to-quarter in Q4.
- In one line: The trade balance should improve in November as erratic falls unwind and goods exports rise.
- In one line: The money and credit data suggests few pre-Budget worries in October.
- In one line: Enough for a December cut, but also enough to keep the MPC cautious about the pace of subsequent cuts.
- In one line: Tax-hike speculation to continue dragging on house prices in Q4.
- In one line:Weak growth seals a December rate cut, but be careful because underlying growth is better than the headline.
- In one line: Car production shutdown tanks exports, but that will unwind in October and November.
- In one line: REC survey shows stabilising jobs market, suggesting weak official payrolls will be revised better.
- In one line: The spectacle of months of tax speculation takes its toll, but house price inflation should recover after the Budget.
- In one line: Fiscal worries begin to weigh on consumer spending.
- In one line: Firms brush off Budget uncertainty, and steady growth should keep the MPC on hold.
- In one line: Predictable correction after the strongest September in five years, the underlying trend is up.
- In one line: Reopening after the cyber attack boosts the manufacturing PMI, but the outlook remains challenging.
- In one line: Rising mortgage approvals and solid credit flows suggest confident consumers.
- In one line:Retail sales should continue to rise despite Budget uncertainty.
- In one line: Consumers are resilient in the face of tax hike rumours.
- In one line: Growth to hold up in Q4 despite Budget uncertainty, but softening inflation indicators gives the MPC doves hope.
- In one line: Manufacturing activity will manage only small gains in the coming months.
