Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

September

30 Apr 2021 The MPC Likely will Wait Another Month to Taper its Gilt Purchases

The MPC Likely will Wait Another Month to Taper its Gilt Purchases

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)29th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

29 Apr 2021 Flat Food Prices will Help to Restrain the Headline Inflation Rate

Flat Food Prices will Help to Restrain the Headline Inflation Rate

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

23 Apr 2021 The Housing Market will be Less Buoyant by Year-End

The Housing Market will be Less Buoyant by Year-End

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

21 Apr 2021 The MPC Can Be Patient, Despite Less Slack than in the Early 2010s

The MPC Can Be Patient, Despite Less Slack than in the Early 2010s

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)20th Apr 2021 18:00U.K.

31 Mar 2021 The Days of Strong Workforce Growth are Long Gone

The Days of Strong Workforce Growth are Long Gone

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

16 Mar 2021 The MPC won't Lean Against the Rise in Rate Expectations at this Stage

The MPC won't Lean Against the Rise in Rate Expectations at this Stage

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

10 Mar 2021 The Chancellor has Engineered a Soft Landing for the Housing Market

The Chancellor has Engineered a Soft Landing for the Housing Market

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Mar 2021 18:00U.K.

8 Mar 2021 A Swifter Recovery At First, But Constraints to Emerge Next Year

A Swifter Recovery At First, But Constraints to Emerge Next Year

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Mar 2021 00:00U.K.

3 Feb 2021 The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

The £185B Question: Will Households Spend their Cash Hoard?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Feb 2021 18:00U.K.

16 Dec 2020 Still At Least Six Months Until the Labour Market Turns the Corner

Labour market conditions continued to deteriorate at a gradual pace in the autumn, despite uncertainty surrounding the future of government policies.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)15th Dec 2020 22:10U.K.

11 Dec 2020 GDP won't Return to October's Level until March

October's GDP figures conformed to our expectation that the recovery hit a wall as the second wave of Covid-19 developed.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Dec 2020 18:10U.K.

9 Dec 2020 GDP Likely to Dip Again in January, in Response to a Third Covid Wave

Near-real-time data suggest that economic activity has not fully recovered to October's level after England's lockdown ended on December 2.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Dec 2020 18:10U.K.

1 Dec 2020 Households are Using Surplus Cash to Pay Off Unsecured Debt

A key determinant of the strength of the economic recovery next year will be households' willingness to spend the savings they have accumulated this year.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)30th Nov 2020 18:00U.K.

27 Nov 2020 The Three-Tier System will Prevent a Full GDP Rebound in December

This month's lockdown has begun to crush the second wave of Covid-19. The seven-day rolling average of cases on November 25 was 27% lower than seven days earlier.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)26th Nov 2020 18:10U.K.

UK Datanote U.K. Official House Price Index, September 2020

In one line: Surging in the wake of the stamp duty cut.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Nov 2020 16:12U.K.

16 Nov 2020 CPI Inflation Likely Rose in October, But it's too Soon to Call an Uptrend

We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Nov 2020 00:10U.K.

UK Datanote U.K. GDP and Trade, September 2020

In one line: GDP probably won't return to September's level until the spring.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th Nov 2020 16:25U.K.

11 Nov 2020 Unemployment Will Peak at a Lower Rate than After the Last Recession

The labour market has continued to hold up better than we and most other forecasters feared at the start of the pandemic.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.

10 Nov 2020 GDP Likely Grew Slowly in September, but the Consensus is too Downbeat

September's GDP report, released on Thursday, looks set to show the economic recovery ended Q3 with little momentum.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Nov 2020 22:20U.K.

9 Nov 2020 Expectations of an End to Furlough Likely Cost More Jobs in October

Tuesday's labour market report looks set to show that job losses continued to accumulate over the autumn, albeit at a measured pace.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Nov 2020 00:10U.K.

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