Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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March

23 Feb 2021 GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Feb 2021 08:15U.K.

22 Feb 2021 How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

17 Feb 2021 Official Data to Confirm Retailers had a Bad Start to 2021

Official Data to Confirm Retailers had a Bad Start to 2021

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)16th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

12 Feb 2021 Covid's Rapid Retreat Implies a Spring Rebound is Still On Track

Covid's Rapid Retreat Implies a Spring Rebound is Still On Track

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

10 Feb 2021 Will the Yield Curve Continue to Steepen this Year?

Will the Yield Curve Continue to Steepen this Year?

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

8 Feb 2021 GDP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

DP Likely Recovered in December, but Remained in the Doldrums

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Feb 2021 19:00U.K.

4 Feb 2021 A Q2 Rebound Looks Even More Likely, Following Positive Vaccine Trial Data

A Q2 Rebound Looks Even More Likely, Following Positive Vaccine Trial Data

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.

25 Jan 2021 Public Borrowing Set to Hit £400B this Year, Despite Recent Trends

The public finances are in worse shape than the latest borrowing numbers indicate. For now, the ONS estimates that borrowing on the main "PSNB ex."

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.

22 Jan 2021 The Housing Market Is Starting to Come Off the Boil

We're starting to see signs that the mini-bubble in the housing market is deflating, albeit slowly.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)21st Jan 2021 13:10U.K.

13 Jan 2021 November GDP to Reveal Economy's Adaptability to Lockdown Conditions

November GDP to Reveal Economy's Adaptability to Lockdown Conditions

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)12th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.

15 Dec 2020 MPC Unlikely to Declare a New Lower Bound for Rates This Week

Investors almost certainly are right to price-in only a minuscule chance that the MPC will reduce Bank Rate below 0.10% on Thursday.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)14th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

9 Dec 2020 GDP Likely to Dip Again in January, in Response to a Third Covid Wave

Near-real-time data suggest that economic activity has not fully recovered to October's level after England's lockdown ended on December 2.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

3 Dec 2020 Don't Expect a Big Rebound in U.K Equities, Even With a Trade Deal

The torrid performance of U.K. equities partially reversed in November with a once-in-a-generation jump in prices.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Dec 2020 13:10U.K.

26 Nov 2020 The Fiscal Repair Job will be Bigger than the OBR's Forecasts Imply

The OBR's new forecasts for public borrowing likely understate the scale of the necessary future fiscal consolidation.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)25th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

23 Nov 2020 New OBR Forecasts to Shed Light on Scale of Future Fiscal Tightening

The run of lower-than-expected, though still high, public borrowing continued in October, with "PSNB ex." coming in at £22.3B, well below the £28.7B anticipated by the...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:10U.K.

19 Nov 2020 CPI Inflation Likely Won't Breach 2% in 2021

The pick-up in CPI inflation to 0.7% in October, from 0.5% in September, does not mark the start of a sustained uptrend.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)18th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

12 Nov 2020 The Boost to GDP from Post-Covid Dis-Saving will be Slow Burning

Positive news from Pfizer on the efficacy of its candidate vaccine has brought the post-Covid world into closer focus.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.

4 Nov 2020 Manufacturing will be a Bright Spot Through the Bleak Winter

Equity markets are correctly concluding that the outlook for U.K.-listed manufacturers is brighter than for most other firms.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Nov 2020 13:00U.K.

14 Oct 2020 The Labour Market is in the Eye of the Storm, More Job Losses Loom

On balance, yesterday's labour market statistics were better than we had expected.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)13th Oct 2020 14:10U.K.

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