Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

April 2024

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April, but the market will recover quickly.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, May 2025

  • In one line:Public finances deteriorate in May, tax-hike speculation to mount over the summer.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP April 2025

  • In one line:GDP falls in April but it will rebound as tax-hike-induced effects fade.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, April / May 2025

  • In one line: A dovish release that raises the chance of the MPC easing policy again in August.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, April 2025

  • In one line: Falling saving and more borrowing supporting consumption should keep GDP growth ticking along despite a drag from investment. 

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, April 2025

  • In one line:Q2 GDP is shaping up for a solid gain as retail sales roar into the spring, defying rocketing economic uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing likely overshot the OBR’s projections in April, we still expect tax rises by the end of the year.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: Inflation should run around 3.5% for the rest of the year, although an Easter boost means the April headline exaggerates the strength a little.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2025

  • In one line: Gradually easing labour market justifies further gradual rate cuts.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, April 2025

  • In one line: Easter distorts the BRC, but look through that and retail sales volumes are still rising strongly.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Job and pay growth improve slightly as payroll tax drag eases, but the MPC downplay the REC now.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, April 2024

  • In one line: The housing market slowdown will be temporary according to the RICS.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, April 2025

  • In one line: Dovish DMP but the survey was run in the eye of the storm, business responses would likely be different now.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: The Construction PMI improves but signals falling activity, it will remain weak for some time.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: Back-to-back rate cuts are likely as sentiment collapses, but accelerating inflation will keep MPC guidance cautious.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, April 2025

  • In one line: Car registrations tank as duties increase.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April as the rush to beat stamp duty increases unwinds, they will rise in H2.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity improves according to the CBI, but the trade war will hurt businesses.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Consumers' major purchases held up, but downside risks to the retail spending build.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q4 2024

  • In one line: Growth recovered in Q4 as Budget uncertainty passed but President Trump’s tariff hammer hangs over the outlook.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,