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On balance, the risks to the OBR's new public borrowing forecasts are skewed to the upside.
5th Mar 2021 03:13U.K.
Chancellor Sunak's second Budget was bolder than widely expected, both in terms of the ne arterm fiscal support provided and the tax rises planned for future years.
3rd Mar 2021 13:00U.K.
Business Investment and Taxes Can Both Rise, with the Right Policies
25th Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
GDP Still can Recover Significantly in March, Despite Reopening Caution
22nd Feb 2021 08:15U.K.
How Strong will the Eventual Rebound in Retail Sales Be?
21st Feb 2021 19:00U.K.
A Q2 Rebound Looks Even More Likely, Following Positive Vaccine Trial Data
3rd Feb 2021 13:00U.K.
The public finances are in worse shape than the latest borrowing numbers indicate. For now, the ONS estimates that borrowing on the main "PSNB ex."
24th Jan 2021 19:00U.K.
The pick-up in the headline rate of CPI inflation to 0.6% in December, from 0.3% in November, simply reflects it reverting to its trend rate.
20th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
Surging Transport Prices to Push CPI Inflation Above the Consensus
18th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
How Severe are the Disruptions at the Border?
14th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
The downturn in economic activity in Q1 is set to be even deeper than we first thought at the start of this week, following the new lockdown announced on Monday...
5th Jan 2021 13:00U.K.
The emergence of a new strain of Covid-19— B117—which is about 70% more infectious than those before it, has lowered the level of economic activity that is...
24th Dec 2020 07:30U.K.
The MPC surprised nobody in voting unanimously this week to keep Bank Rate at 0.10% and to maintain its targets for the stock of government and corporate bond purchases at £875B...
17th Dec 2020 13:00U.K.
The decline in CPI inflation to 0.3% in November, from 0.7% in October, likely doesn't represent a shift in the underlying trend.
16th Dec 2020 17:10U.K.
The consensus for a mere 0.3% month-to-month fall in the official measure of retail sales volumes--the data are released on Friday--looks too sanguine. We look for a fall...
17th Nov 2020 13:10U.K.
We see slight upside risk to the consensus and MPC forecasts that CPI inflation remained at 0.5% in October. We think it nudged up to 0.6%, though admittedly a 0.5% print looks...
15th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
Tuesday's labour market report looks set to show that job losses continued to accumulate over the autumn, albeit at a measured pace.
8th Nov 2020 19:10U.K.
September's retail sales figures, released on Friday, look set to show that spending climbed to a new record-high, despite this year's decline in households'...
20th Oct 2020 14:10U.K.
Many indicators continue to suggest that the economic recovery has stalled.
15th Oct 2020 14:00U.K.
Next week's labour market report likely will show that job cuts accelerated again, after a lull in the summer.
8th Oct 2020 14:10U.K.
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