Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.K. Publications

Below is a list of our U.K. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

UK Datanote: U.K. GDP and Trade, April 2021

In one line: Growth in line with expectations; May likely saw further progress.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)11th Jun 2021 15:23U.K.

11 June 2021 A Blockbuster Labour Market Report for April?

Tuesday's labour market report looks set to show that the unemployment rate fell further in April, though not quite as rapidly as implied by recent business surveys.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. RICS Residential Market Survey, May 2021

In one line: Prices are still surging for now, but they will plateau soon.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)10th Jun 2021 11:20U.K.

10 June 2021 Consumer Caution Likely to Rise as Third Covid Wave Develops

The "Step 3" unlocking on May 17 has given impetus to the emerging third wave of Covid-19.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)9th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

9 June 2021 GDP Likely Jumped to Within 4% of its Pre-Covid Level in April

We expect April's GDP report, released on Friday, to show that the economy continued to recover at a rapid rate in April.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)8th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

8 June 2021 Remortgaging Unlikely to Recover to Pre-Covid Levels Anytime Soon

While the housing market is running hot this year, remortgaging activity has remained extremely weak.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

7 June 2021 Is Still-High Furlough Scheme Usage a Cause for Concern?

MPC members have made it clear that the evolution of slack in the labour market will have a crucial bearing on the timing of the first increase in Bank Rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Markit/CIPS Construction Survey, May 2021

In one line: Output now above pre-Covid levels, but supply constraints might limit further growth.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Jun 2021 15:48U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Car Registrations, May 2021

In one line: Still below pre-Covid levels, though a full recovery next year is in sight.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Jun 2021 15:48U.K.

4 June 2021 The PMI's Ebullience Contrasts Starkly with Other Surveys

Recent indicators of economic activity are not as uniformly positive as we hoped.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Markit CIPS Services Survey & ONS BIC Survey, May 2021

In one line: Conflicting signals on growth, but not on inflation.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)3rd Jun 2021 16:03U.K.

3 June 2021 April Money Data Signal a Steady, not Spectacular, Recovery in GDP

April's money and credit data suggest that the economic recovery is progressing, but not at a stellar rate.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Money & Credit, April 2021

In one line: Households saved the least since Covid began, but aren't confident enough yet to splurge.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)2nd Jun 2021 16:28U.K.

2 June 2021 Manufacturers Can't Ride the Restocking Wave Forever

The manufacturing sector currently is enjoying a remarkably strong recovery.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Jun 2021 18:00U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Markit/CIPS Manufacturing Survey, May 2021

In one line: Output probably now above its pre-Covid level, driven by re-stocking and perhaps panic buying by businesses.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Jun 2021 14:38U.K.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, May 2021

In one line: Still soaring, but the medium-term outlook remains overcast.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)1st Jun 2021 14:38U.K.

1 June 2021 Will the Real Gertjan Vlieghe Please Stand Up?

A speech by MPC member Gertjan Vlieghe caught the attention of many investors last week. Immediately after his speech was published at 12:00 BST on Thursday, sterling jumped by...

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)31st May 2021 18:00U.K.

28 May 2021 The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

The Economy Still is Convalescing, No Sign of a Consumer Boom

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)28th May 2021 00:00U.K.

27 May 2021 Markets are Becoming More Responsive to Data Surprises Again

We have detected a clear shift in the importance placed by markets on the regular macro data over the last month.

Samuel Tombs (UK Economist)26th May 2021 17:22U.K.

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