UK Publications
Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Datanotes Weekly Monitor
- In one line: The labour market improved marginally in January but remains hobbled according to the REC.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- We still expect three rate cuts in total this year—two more—after the surprisingly dovish MPC voted to cut.
- Vote splits are a poor guide to subsequent decisions, while the MPC’s inflation forecast was hawkish.
- We expect Catherine Mann to explain this week that she was calling for a one-off rate adjustment.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: The Construction PMI tanks, but was driven by erratic falls and should improve.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Payroll tax hikes boost inflation and cut growth; the MPC will have to plot a middle path.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Private car registrations fall eases in January; the trend should improve in 2025.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: President Trump’s tariffs will snuff out a nascent rebound in the PMI.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: House price inflation is trending higher despite the weak monthly gain in Nationwide's index.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- Payroll-tax hikes are driving growth down and inflation up to a greater extent than we expected.
- We cut our 2025 GDP forecast to 1.1% year-over-year, from 1.3%, but raise inflation by 10bp to 3.1%.
- We retain our long-held call for three cuts to Bank Rate in 2025, with the first coming on Thursday.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
- In one line: Easing consumer saving should support demand, but tax hikes hit business investment.
Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK
