Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity to remain weak in the second half of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, September 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in September but we look for a subdued second half of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing output will slowly recover in the coming months.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, September 2025

  • In one line: The PMI cools in September but growth will still run at a healthy pace in Q3.

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2025

  • In one line: Growth still reliant on government, but business investment growing through the H1 headwinds is an encouraging sign.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, August 2025

  • In one line: Confident consumers and rising corporate credit flow signal healthy GDP growth.

29 September 2025 UK Monitor Forecast review: solid underlying growth and sticky inflation

  • Data in the past month have been a mixed bag, but underlying activity is holding up well.
  • We retain our call for quarter-to-quarter GDP growth of 0.2% in Q3, matching the consensus estimate.
  • Solid growth will limit the emergence of spare capacity, keeping the MPC on hold for the rest of 2025.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, August 2025

  • In one line: Little news, as underlying services inflation settling in the low-4%'s will keep the MPC on hold for the rest of this year. 

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, September 2025

  • In one line: A slightly more cautious MPC will keep rates on hold for the rest of the year. 

UK Datanote: UK Official House Price Index, July 2025

  • In one line: House price inflation will remain weak as the Budget weighs on sentiment.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, August 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales head for a solid Q3 and growth will likely be revised up.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Strong personal finances will help consumers keep spending.

22 September 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: Stick inflation and questionable slack

  • A stabilising labour market and sticky underlying inflation support out call for no more rate cuts.
  • Hawkish details in the MPC minutes raise the bar to another cut this year.
  • Awful public finance data reduce the chance that Chancellor Reeves will soften duty hikes next year.

UK Datanote: UK Bank of England Inflation Attitudes Survey, Q3 2025

  • In one line: Modestly deanchored inflation expectations warrant caution from the MPC.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, July 2025

  • In one line: The underlying trade balance fell erratically in July, but it will remain weak.

UK Datanote: UK GDP July 2025

  • In one line:Q3 growth on track for 0.2% quarter-to-quarter.

15 September 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: Solid underlying GDP growth

  • GDP was unchanged in July as an erratic fall in industrial output offset rising services.
  • Underlying GDP growth looks solid to us; little spare capacity will emerge in the economy.
  • We expect a hawkish week ahead, with the August data to show stabilising jobs and rising inflation.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, August 2025

  • In one line: Job falls ease sharply but spare capacity is still building in the labour market.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, August 2025

  • In one line: Retail spending can power another solid quarter of economic growth in Q3.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,