Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor

17 November 2023 UK Monitor Outlook for Lower Mortgage Rates Implies House Prices Will Stabilise Soon

  • The official house price index in September was only 0.7% below its November 2022 peak...
  • ...but the first estimate usually is revised down by 1%, and Q3’s rise in mortgage rates hasn’t impacted the data yet.
  • The better outlook for mortgage rates, however, hints prices in Q1 will stabilise at 5%, not 6%, below their peak.

UK

16 November 2023 UK Monitor CPI Inflation Falling Quickly Enough for the MPC to Start Easing in Q2

  • October’s 4.6% rate of CPI inflation undershot the MPC’s forecast by 0.2pp, largely due to services prices.
  • The core CPI has risen at a seasonally adjusted annualised rate of just 2.2% over the past three months...
  • ...Some one-off price falls have supported the slowdown, but PPI data suggest it will largelybe sustained.

Samuel TombsUK

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