Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Weekly Monitor Samuel Tombs

19 December 2023 UK Monitor Consumer Energy Bills to Fall by 10% in April, Driving Down Inflation

  • Ofgem likely will reduce its default tariff cap by 10% in April, if wholesale prices remain at their current level.
  • Current weights imply this will reduce the all-items CPI by 0.5pp; the drag might be larger after weight updates.
  • The recent fall in oil prices has improved the CPI inflation outlook too; we expect it to average just 2.7% in 2024.

Samuel TombsUK

18 December 2023 UK Monitor The Economy is Finally Starting to Turn a Corner

  • The composite PMI rose in December to a six-month high; consumers’ confidence is near a two-year high.
  • This pick-up reflects rising real household disposable income, and possibly slowing savings replenishment.
  • The MPC, however, needn’t stay very restrictive; the job market is loosening, and inflation pressures are fading.

Samuel TombsUK

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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,