Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Datanotes Daily Monitor Chartbook Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)

12 August 2025 UK Monitor The Chancellor's headroom has turned into a £13B fiscal hole

  • Public sector borrowing matched the OBR’s expectations to June on a cumulative basis…
  • ...but policy U-turns and overoptimistic OBR growth forecasts mean the Chancellor faces a £13B hole.
  • We expect back-loaded stealth and ‘sin’ tax hikes to cover most of the £20B gap against headroom.
Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

6 August 2025 UK Monitor GDP likely rebounded in June, with 0.2% growth month-to-month

  • We expect GDP to rise 0.2% month-to-month in June, as retail sales, real estate and autos output rebound.
  • Our call points to quarter-to-quarter growth of 0.2% in Q2, above the 0.1% forecast in the MPC’s May MPR.
  • We think growth will run close to potential for the rest of 2025, giving the MPC little room for manoeuvre.
Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,