Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Daily Monitor Chartbook Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

5 February 2025 UK Monitor GDP likely unchanged in December and fell quarter-to-quarter in Q4

  • We expect GDP to stagnate in December, putting growth at -0.1% quarter-to-quarter in Q4.
  • Industrial production likely fell, while we expect healthcare and education to detract from growth.
  • A small upward revision to November’s GDP would be enough to avoid GDP falling in Q4 as a whole.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, January 2025

  • In one line: President Trump’s tariffs will snuff out a nascent rebound in the PMI.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

4 February 2025 UK Monitor Another stagflationary shock; CPI set to rise to 2.8% in January

  • We think President Trump’s tariffs, by fracturing supply chains, will be stagflationary for the UK.
  • We expect CPI inflation to accelerate to 2.8% in January, 0.3pp more than the MPC expected.
  • Goods inflation will slow, but airfares and private-school fees will boost services inflation.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, January 2025

  • In one line: House price inflation is trending higher despite the weak monthly gain in Nationwide's index.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, December 2024

  • In one line: Easing consumer saving should support demand, but tax hikes hit business investment.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,