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18th Mar 2022 00:20Latin America, Daily Monitor

  • COPOM raised the Selic rate to 11.75%, and hinted that the end of the tightening cycle is near.
  • It will hike the rate by another 100bp in May, but un- certainty is high, due mostly to the war in Ukraine.
  • Further tightening in H2 can't be discarded, but will dent the already fragile economic recovery.

brl commodity prices copom external conditions fiscal policy government inflation expectations inflation forecast inflation forecasts inflation report inflation risk January March May oil oil prices policy policymakers q1 retail sales selic rate usd

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Keywords for: The End of the COPOM's Tightening Cycle is Near, but Uncertainty is High

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