Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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23 February 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Losing Speed, and Inflation is Accelerating

23 February 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Losing Speed, and Inflation is Accelerating

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Feb 2021 07:23Latin America

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 18:10Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 18:20Latin America

8 Dec 2020 Andean Inflation Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, H1 Looks Benign

Inflation in the Andes is ending the year at a comfortable rate, allowing policymakers to keep interest rates at historic lows.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 18:20Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 18:10Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 18:10Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 18:20Latin America

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

Inflation data for Brazil released on Friday surprised to the upside once again, driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and food-related pressures as external demand...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Nov 2020 18:20Latin America

12 Oct 2020 Covid-induced Spike in Food Prices Pushes Up Inflation in Brazil and Chile

Inflation data for Brazil and Chile released last week surprised to the upside, but the rebound in September mainly was driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Oct 2020 19:20Latin America

7 Oct 2020 Capex Stabilizing in Mexico, Modest Inflation Pressures in the Andes

Data released yesterday confirmed that investment in Mexico has been on the mend since June, but activity still remains depressed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 19:10Latin America

29 Sept 2020 LatAm Central Banks have Closed the Door to Further Easing

Recent economic data in LatAm have alleviated concerns following weakness in the first half of the year, inflicted by Covid, and have even added some upside risks to our...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

28 Sept 2020 COPOM's Minutes and the Inflation Report Point to Rates on Hold

Recent economic data in Brazil, along with recent messages from the BCB, have supported our view that interest rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Sep 2020 19:20Latin America

11 Sept 2020 Brazil's Retail Sector Started Q3 Solidly, will the Uptrend Continue

Data released in recent days have confirmed that private spending is on the mend in the biggest LatAm economies.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

14 July 2020 The Pandemic is Far from Over in the Andes, Prolonging the Economic Hit

The Johns Hopkins database shows a mixed coronavirus picture in the Andes, with the trend in new cases still rising in Argentina and Colombia, but relatively flat for about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Jul 2020 19:20Latin America

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