Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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28 July 2021 Mexico's Recovery Gathered Speed in May, Despite Temporary Shocks

Mexico's economic recovery continued to gather traction in Q2, thanks to improving services activity. Manufacturing is struggling, due to supply issues, but conditions likely...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

26 July 2021 Inflation in Brazil Started Q3 Badly; Electricity Tariffs Remain a Problem

Inflation in Brazil started Q3 badly, due mainly to higher electricity tariffs as weather conditions bite. Mexico's retail sector remains resilient, thanks to the reopening of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 July 2021 Mexico's CPI Inflation is Likely to Remain Stubbornly High in H2

As we move on into the second half of the year, the Mexican economy looks poised for a sustained recovery, provided both private consumption and external demand momentum is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

22 July 2021 Political Risk Improves in the Andes

Chile -- Political risk improves further Peru -- Castillo finally declared president-elect Colombia -- Duque presents a social-driven fiscal bill

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 July 2021 Inflation Pressures are Easing in Argentina, but the Outlook is Grim

Argentina's inflation pressures continue to ease on a sequential basis, improving the ruling party's chances of performing well in the mid-term elections, slated for November.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

20 July 2021 Peru's Economic Activity on its Way to Pre-crisis Levels After a Poor Q1

Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 July 2021 Colombia's Economy was on the Ropes in Q2, due to the Protests

May's activity data underline the dramatic effect of the social unrest in Colombia's economic growth. The latest data show that retail sales, excluding the volatile fuel and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

12 July 2021 Will Brazil's Private Consumption Recovery Continue in H2?

May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

7 July 2021 Mexico's Capex Recovery Stuttered in Early Q2, but it will Improve Soon

Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 July 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Stalling, and the Second Half Looks Tough

Argentina's April economic activity report unsurprisingly showed that activity remained greatly depressed by lockdown rules--restrictions have been tightened significantly since...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

29 June 2021 Improving External Account Picture thanks to Better Global Growth

External accounts in LatAm likely will continue to improve over the next few months, thanks to the global economic recovery. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

28 June 2021 Brazil's Inflation Jumps Above 8%, but the Downshift will Resume Soon

In Brazil, bad inflation news was the main economic highlight last week. The data confirm that the central bank will continue to hike interest rates, by at least 75bp, at its...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

22 June 2021 Colombian Authorities Trying Hard to Anchor Fiscal Credibility

Colombia's government last week release its annual medium-term fiscal plan--Marco Fiscal de Mediano Plazo, or MFMP--which provides a detailed look at the performance of the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 June 2021 Peru's Recovery Stalled in April; Argentina's Inflation Nightmare

Economic and political uncertainty continues in Peru. It took about two weeks to count all the presidential votes, but Pedro Castillo, who led by only 0.25pp over Keiko Fujimori,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

18 June 2021 The COPOM has Laid the Ground for Policy Neutrality Later this Year

Brazil's COPOM made it clear on Wednesday that it will be raising the Selic rate to the neutral level in the near term. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

16 June 2021 Andean Economies Struggled in Early Q2 Amid Domestic Headwinds

Andean economies have been struggling recently, owing to the worsening of the pandemic, rising political risk, and social unrest.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

15 June 2021 Brazil's Recovery will Continue, Despite a Soft Start to Q2

The economic data flow in Brazil remains positive; private spending is improving in response to the gradual reopening of the economy, the lagged effect of solid monetary and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

14 June 2021 Mexico's Industrial Sector Under Strain due to Temporary Shocks

The May industrial production data, released on Friday, brought discouraging news about the state of the Mexican economy in the very near term, due to supply issues and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

11 June 2021 Inflation Pressures Continue to Mount in Brazil and Mexico

LatAm as a whole is gradually recovering from the Covid shock, despite a temporary bump in late Q1 and April.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

7 June 2021 Brazil's Industrial Sector will Gather Speed Soon; Banxico to Hike in Q4

Markets received negative news on the Brazilian industrial sector last week, but leading indicators suggest that this is not the start of a protracted downtrend.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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