Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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31 Aug 2021 The Latest Covid Wave Continues to Ease, but Delta-Hit Mexico Still Lags

  • New Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations continue to fall in most of LatAm; Mexico still lags.
  • The Delta variant remains a key threat, so victory is still a way off, despite an improving vaccine rollout.
  • Brazil's economic recovery continues, but rising inflation and supply shocks are a real threat.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

3 Aug 2021 BanRep Keeps Rates on Hold, but it will Hike Soon, as Inflation Bites

Colombia’s central bank kept the main rate on hold, but the split Board introduced a clear hawkish tone.

Inflation is rising rapidly, and prospects remain grim; BanRep will hike rates next month.

Chile's economic recovery consolidated in June, thanks mainly to solid services activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 Aug 2021 Mexico's Recovery Continues, as Spending on Services Ramps Up

Mexico's economy gathered speed in Q2, thanks to solid services activity and despite one-off shocks.

Manufacturing activity has stalled, due to global supply issues, but conditions likely will stabilise soon.

Further good news from Chile's retail sector and manufacturing ended Q2 on a solid footing.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

30 July 2021 Mr Castillo's Bittersweet Speech Packs Few Punches for Markets

Left-wing Mr. Castillo is sworn in as president of Peru; the inaugural speech provokes mixed reviews...

...But the opposition will lead Congress, easing the risks of populist policies under his rule.

Brazil's labour market conditions continued to im- prove at a rapid pace in Q2, but threats remain.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

14 July 2021 Rising Commodity Prices are Helping LatAm's Economic Upturn

Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks as the economies gradually reopen.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 June 2021 LatAm FX Markets Under Strain as Global Conditions Turn Challenging

LatAm FX markets have been under severe strain over the last week, following slightly hawkish comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve, suggesting policymakers are now ready to talk about tapering.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

15 June 2021 Brazil's Recovery will Continue, Despite a Soft Start to Q2

The economic data flow in Brazil remains positive; private spending is improving in response to the gradual reopening of the economy, the lagged effect of solid monetary and fiscal support tightening, and the recent improvement in confidence.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

24 May 2021 The Mexican Economy is Getting Better, Despite Rising Political Risks

Data released in recent days have confirmed that the Mexican retail sector is gradually on the mend, despite many headwinds, including the pandemic, and rising political uncertainty.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

20 Apr 2021 Brazil's Economy Remains Resilient, but Still Faces Downside Risks

Data released yesterday in Brazil showed a surprisingly strong economy in February, despite the worsening of the pandemic and many domestic headwinds.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

30 Mar 2021 No Break Yet for LatAm, a Third Wave is Building in Some Countries

The Covid nightmare continues in LatAm and it likely get worse unless governments takes more stringent measures. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

9 Mar 2021 Low Inflation in the Andes, the Gift that Keeps on Giving

The second/third Covid wave is stabilizing in most LatAm countries, allowing some restrictions to be eased.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

5 Mar 2021 Brazil's Recovery Continued in Q4, but a Pause in the Rebound Looms

The marquee event in a very busy week was the release of Brazil's Q4 GDP figures, showing a more resilient-than-expected economy, despite the fading boost from fiscal support to low income families, rising inflation and the worsening of the pandemic postholiday season.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

3 Mar 2021 Business Surveys Point to Improving Manufacturing Activity in Q2

Brazil’s manufacturing PMI rose to 58.4 in February, from a seven-month low of 56.5 in January, when activity was hit by the worst of the second Covid wave.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 Feb 2021 Chile is in a Better Position for Recovery this Year than Other LatAm

Data released in recent days confirm that the economic recovery continued in most of LatAm in late Q4, thanks to rising spending on the back of less- strict social distancing measures ahead of the holiday season. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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